Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Money, Power and Roger Goodell

Matt Aaron, who leads Inconclusive Evidence in personal fouls, sounds off on Roger Goodell

September 1st, 2006 Roger Goodell took office as the NFL Commissioner, succeeding Paul Tagliabue. Less than a year later, Goodell introduced a new player conduct policy which he certainly is implementing to its fullest. He has stressed a desire to start a franchise overseas and to expand the regular season by two games. We currently have different rules of overtime for the regular season and postseason. Fines are also at an all-time high, being dished out weekly. All of this activity makes me believe that the current Commish has never heard the phrase, “If it isn’t broke, don’t fix it.”
I completely understand why Goodell strolled into office and wanted to tackle the league’s image before it slipped out of control. In 2006, the Bengals had 9 different players who had been arrested. The artist previously known as Pacman and the late Chris Henry were getting into severe trouble and the media was running with the theme of a league filled with “thugs.” Goodell made the assessment that the players and the teams that have them under contract will feel the consequences of negative actions.
            Goodell quickly developed a reputation that he is going to be rigid with his punishments. Tank Johnson, Mike Vick, Dante Stallworth, and Ben Roethlisberger all were suspended for what was determined contact detrimental to the league.
             I do not have any major issues with most of those suspensions. I can make an argument that Roethlisberger’s suspension was excessive on an epic scale, because he was never arrested and there was never a criminal case filed on him. A case can also be made for Mike Vick who paid his debt to society and still was suspended, but I do see Goodell’s reasoning behind each decision. I do, however, have a problem with the recent inconsistency from the Commissioner. Roger has never been as severe with coaches as he is with players, though the conduct policy states that all NFL employees are accounted for. Bill Bilicheck was never suspended for “Spygate” and neither did Josh McDaniels for his recent home video. Goodell was quoted as saying that the use of the camera during the Patriots’ season-opening 38-14 win over the New York Jets had no impact on the game. If it did not have an impact on the game, then why did he take a draft pick away? More severe punishment was needed. Last summer, Cedric Benson was arrested for allegedelly punching a bartender in the face. The Cincinnati running back was arrested multiple times in 2008, yet he has never been suspended. Tennessee Titans quarterback, (who knows for how long), Vince Young, was the star of a video that quickly turned into an internet sensation when he clearly attempted to punch another person. After trying to hook-a-horn while at a strip club, VY begged Goodell to not suspend him on twitter the next day. He was never penalized.
               One chapter in the 2010 season book is definitely titled; When Personal Fouls turn to Personal Grudges. James Harrison is mean, we all know this, but he is not THAT mean. As of today, Harrison’s fines have topped 125,000 dollars, most of which are on borderline calls. He is not the cleanest player in the game, but the hits on Josh Cribbs, Vince Young, Drew Brees and definitely Ryan Fitzpatrick, did not warrant a fine. Throwing a flag is one thing, but continuing to fine a man because he is “repeat offender” is ridiculous.



           I cannot say for sure, but I have a strong feeling that the communication between the referees and the NFL office is not as smooth as it needs to be. The refs feel added pressure to throw a flag, because they do not want to let a play go, that later will lead to a fine. Harrison gets called two weeks ago for “driving Campbell into the ground,” and last week gets the flag/fine combo for hitting the Harvard grad in his chest. These penalties literally had ESPN personality and former NFL quarterback Trent Dilfer say on the air, “I do not even want to talk about.” Steve Young also sounded off on these ridiculous calls. There is not a muscle that Harrison can touch on a quarterback right now. With that being said, Cortland Finnegan and Andre Johnson get into a fight in the middle of the field and get simply a 25K fine. Personally, I believe Finnegan deserved an old time whooping like he received, but that does not give AJ permission to do so. Punches were thrown after the play, clearly not in the act of playing football. Millions of people, including young children witnessed Johnson throwing haymakers and he gets the same punishment as a borderline roughing the passer call on Harrison. But then again, Andre Johnson plays this Thursday on the NFL Network and the NFL office definitely does not want him out for their game.
          

Sun-Sentinel
 
             The flags and fines are flying all over the place in order to protect player’s safety, yet Goodell wants the season to expand by 2 games. With or without multiple bye weeks, that is absolutely ridiculous in terms of player safety. Steelers’ wide receiver Hines Ward stated that player’s careers will have YEARS cut off it if the league goes to 18 games. If Goodell did not think this would hurt individual players, than he would not have proposed that rosters would increase if the number of games do. Clearly, a lot more players are going to get injured in this scenario.
            Hopefully by next season, the overtime rule will be the same for both the regular season and the postseason. I have no problem with him trying to make the rule fairer, but it must be the same the entire season. (Stay tuned in the next couple weeks for Dr. Matt Aaron’s flawless idea for NFL overtime here on Inconclusive Evidence)
            Lastly, expansion overseas to me simply sounds like the NFL is getting greedy. NFL Europe was losing 30 million dollars a year by its conclusion in 2007. I understand that more competitive and athletically gifted players will be showcased with a NFL team in Europe, but traveling time, costs and energy would be epic. The NFL currently makes sickening amounts of money and I do not think it would be worth the trouble to start a team overseas.
            Many internet message board posters refer to Goodell as a dictator, a man with too much power. I strongly believe that deep down he does care about the safety of his employees, I just believe he is going at it wrong. Communication levels are not there and the game is starting to change drastically. The NFL still has too good of a product to lose its fans, which is why Goodell can get away with attempting to experiment with curious decisions. I will conclude with this, his emphasis on head injuries is something that future retired players will thank Roger for and he does deserve positive remarks for that.

Monday, November 29, 2010

Ten Early Season NBA Observations

Brought to you by Mike Nicastro: Just read it.


1.       It’s Rajon Rondo’s world and we’re all just livin’ in it
Remember when Rajon was a lanky, unpolished, inexperienced, turnover prone, never going to amount to much point guard? I certainly do, only because it wasn’t too long ago. About 21 months to be exact when he was the only question mark to an otherwise championship roster.
Today, he is the ace in the Celtics poker hand and most vital part of the team. Rondo’s maturation has been dramatic from year to year.  His assist totals have increased significantly from 3 his rookie year, to 6 his sophomore campaign, then 8, 10 and now 14. You could make the argument that the only reasons his assist totals are heightened are because of the talent around him. But I could make the argument that he radically makes the talent around him better. Nothing against Paul Pierce or Ray Allen, but take one of those guys off of this team, and you still have the 4th or 5th strongest team in the East. Take Rondo off the squad, and you have a team that would struggle to make the postseason. A steal in the NBA today should be referred to as committing Grand Theft Rondo. The Celtics committed Grand Theft Rondo when they traded for him on draft day after he was selected by the Phoenix Suns with the 21st pick. He has the Celtics looking like the team to beat in the East once again this year. Rondo could potentially be holding an MVP trophy when it’s all said and done this year, a good chance that MVP trophy reads Finals on it.


2.       Unless Dwight Howard has something to say about that
Admittedly, I was one of the cynics that went urghhhhhhhhhhhh, growled, and shook my head when the Magic selected Howard first overall above Emeka Okafor, who was taken by the Charlotte Bobcats in the 2004 draft. Now the only object growling at Howard is the Tiger featured in the Nike commercial with Howard and Mr. Chow (tooodaloooo Bobcats!) This guy athletically is simply an unfair matchup. And that was before he developed a few back to the basket low post moves. He’s big, he’s bad, and he’s taking over the paint like Michelangelo. Recently, Howard has been remarkable, doing things Jim Jones hasn’t even seen. Take a look at just this past week;
Nov. 22 @ San Antonio: Had 26 points, 18 rebounds, three steals and two blocks
Nov. 24 vs. Miami: Posted 24 points and 18 rebounds
Nov. 26 vs. Cleveland: Netted 23 points to go along with 11 rebounds, two blocks and two steals
Nov. 27 @ Washington: Rounded out the week with his fourth double-double, tallying 32 points and 11 rebounds
Orlando went 3-1 in those games, and Dwight Howard stamped his name alongside Rondo’s in early season MVP discussion.  He is a man among boys, and a lot similar to Rondo, has improved every year. The Sky’s the limit for Dwight. His team is Balllllllllin at 12-4, tied with Boston atop the Eastern Conference, and I got news for you, they’re the best team in the state of Florida.


3.       Jeff Van Gundy has less hair every week
The ESPN color commentator should shop at the same toupee store as his brother, Stan. Or ask Latrell Sprewell to borrow some locks.


4.       The Western Conference once again, is head and shoulders above the East
Just when you thought this conference couldn’t get any stronger, New Orleans decides to win twelve out of their first sixteen contests, and the Golden State Warriors young backcourt of Monta Ellis and Steph Curry start to look like a serious up and comer. The West features 7 teams with a winning percentage better then .62 percent in San Antonio, New Orleans, Los Angeles, Denver, Utah, Dallas and Oklahoma City. The East, has two. Boston and Orlando.

5.       BREAKING NEWS: Chris Paul is not getting traded
This makes me lol more than an episode of Full House. After the Saints triumph the hornets are looking to make some noise of their own this season in the Bayou. Chris Paul is the energizer behind the bunny, looks happy and healthy, and has his team compiling wins. Sure he would look great in an Orlando Magic uniform. Lets just take into effect what Paul did for Tyson Chandler.He made a sub par big man look like an all star. Just imagine what he could then do with basically the best big man in basketball already. The possibilities are endless. But we’re going to have to wait a year or so if we’re ever going to see that scenario.  I keep hearing “ Chris Paul would go to so and so and immediately make them a contender” Well, time to open your eyes. At 12-4 the Hornets ARE contenders. And CP3 is the reason.

6.       Shaq, is well, still Shaq
“Celtics coach Doc Rivers said center Shaquille O'Neal missed Boston's practice on Monday because the veteran center forgot the time it was scheduled to start”
Shaq defeats Pujols in Home Run Derby, beats Rachael Ray in a cookoff. . . . coming up this Saturday, can the diesel defeat the toughest challenge of them all? Tune in at 8, ABC, Shaq vs. Time!


7.       Eva Longoria divorced Tony Parker because he’s been more committed to other people

Namely Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili. Now i'm not suggesting that these three are taking a trip on the love boat together anytime soon, but on the court they’ve been nothing short of a happy marriage.  Parker and the spurs currently sit at 14-2, and have gone from a ’54 Oldsmobile to a 08 Cadillac. Interesting that Eva files for divorce and spousal support a month after Tony signs a 50 million dollar extension with the Spurs. Although it wasn’t a good deal for Eva, it was a great one for the Spurs locking up one of the more underrated point guards in the league. If I told you Tony Parker led the league in points in the paint last year, you obviously wouldn’t believe me . . until you looked it up. He’s one of the primary reasons San Antonio is looking like a championship contender out West. Manu Ginobili looks to be back in all-star form, Richard Jefferson has overcome some issues off the court, and Gregg Poppovich has one of the finest coaching resumes in NBA history.  But more importantly, Eva Longoria is on the market? Who’s with me!?!


8.       The Clippers are thankful for Blake Griffin
And turkey, and cranberry sauce, and stuffing, and sweet potatoes. But not much else. Prior to the season I admittedly picked the Clippers to be my surprise playoff team out west. I loved the young core of this team, Eric Gordon a slashing, crafty two guard, a steady, consistent former all star NBA center in Chris Kaman, and a PG that has seen it all in this league in Baron Davis, all surrounding prospective superstar Blake Griffin, rounded out what looked to me a team reminiscent of the Golden State team of 08 in which Baron Davis was also the PG. Well, it hasn’t really turned out that way for one of the most pathetic franchises in sports. They’ve been plagued by injury, but even when healthy they look like my sister’s 2nd grade “backyard playtime” team.  It doesn’t help that they are in a Western Conference that features 6 perennial powerhouses, along with 2 rebuilding teams that are two jumps and a hop step ahead of them in Memphis and Golden State, but a team with this much talent should not be 3-15. Almost like the Bengals in football, you seemingly could put all the superstars in the world on the Clips and they would still underachieve. The Clippers are cursed. I deem this to be true… you could put Lebron James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh all on this team and they would still barely break .500. Wait, I’m being told that...


9.       I have a joke for you that I just thought of while attempting to make the Lakers my number 9 observation.
Why did Ron Artest leave the game early?
Because he wanted to beat the crowd.
Sorry to get off topic, but there is really isn’t much to talk about in Jack Nicholson land. The Lakers are who we thought they were. Currently holding serve, they will be in the Western Conference Finals once again this year vying for a chance to achieve their second three-peat of the decade. The black mamba is still venomous, and throw Pau Gasols name in the mix with Howard and Rondo for midseason MVP candidates. And let’s be quite frank . . No matter how bad a day the Lakers could potentially one day have, they still aren’t the Clippers.


10   The Miami Heat are the biggest disappointment in Sports . . . today

And maybe soon to be sports history if this ship isn’t righted by the end of the season.  But key words, by the end of the season. Critics may still bash this team if they were to fall in the NBA finals or Eastern Conference Finals, but I actually think that this isn’t championship or bust and that a Finals appearance would be defined as a successful season for the Heat. One, because Boston and Orlando are just that good, and have that cohesiveness that Miami obviously lacks. Here’s the thing, I understand this team is held to a higher standard because of the prediction Lebron made at the big pizza party down in south beach this summer where he predicted “ not 6”, “not 7” championships (maybe he meant 3?). But anybody who has ever laced up their Lebron’s and played a game of basketball, or watched dynasties such as the Bulls and the Lakers, knows that it takes time to develop that chemistry, to understand your teammates tendencies, and to win meaningful basketball games. Give them the full 82 games before we start officially call them the biggest disappointment in sports history, and with that said even if they don’t win the trophy this year I STILL  believe they will have at least 3 forthcoming in the next 6 years. 
But by staying optimistic, I am absolutely cutting this team a break. Currently, they are a joke. When you watch this team, they look simple. Just like in Cleveland it’s LeBron and 4 guys watching him. I don’t care who’s on the bench if its Erik Spoelstra, Pat Riley, Stan Van Gundy, Carrot Top, this start is on the players.  Inconclusive Evidence’s own Matt Aaron has already told you why Chris Bosh is exceedingly overerrated, and if you’ve watched a Heat game this year when Lebron James and Dwyane Wade are on the hardwood together, you can basically rest assure that the offense will be stagnant. Two guys, with similar games, and gigantic egos. Two individuals so used to doing everything by themselves, they can’t do much of anything together.

http://www.nba.com/statistics/plusminus/plusminus_sort.jsp?pcomb=2&season=22010&split=9&team=Heat. Check out NBA.com recent stat breakdown of when they are on the court together. Believe it or not, they are the 18th best two man combination on the Heat. Not 3rd, or 4th, but 18th!  Simply mind blowing.The circus ride’s been fun since June, since the decision, for these 3 individuals. It’s a nice script for drama, basketball drama, and currently it's not a script translating in wins. And right now, this is a team of celebrities, and not basketball players.

In conclusion, as I alluded to earlier we’re ONLY 17 games into the season. Check back with me in February. If the ship isn’t righted, meaning they don’t significantly improve or are not a top 3 seed in the East, I’ll walk the plank.

Sunday, November 28, 2010

The Doc gives out grades for the Steelers, Week 12 edition

The Pittsburgh Steelers headed up to Buffalo to ‘circle the wagons’ with the 2-8 Bills in week 12. It was a tale of two halves against the deceptive two win Buffalo Bills. A game filled with failed opportunities, astonishing luck and mispronounced names throughout. Let’s take a look at Dr. Matt Aaron’s grades for each Pittsburgh Steelers component.

Quarterback: B

Ben Roethlisberger looked smooth and silky early in the game. Playing off Bruce Arian’s heavy run scheme against the NFL’s worst rush defense; he kept the balance flush in the first half. He appeared to injury his ankle and clearly was limping in the second half, but that did not prevent him from running an absurd 18 yard run on a crucial late game 3rd down situation. (It helps when Marcus Stroud is chasing you).

He did not throw any touchdowns, but did not turn the ball over either. He faced a constant pass rush and is working with an adolescent wide receiver core. Based on the offensive game plan, Roethlisberger played solid against a below average Bills defense.

Running Backs: B-

Steelers came into Sunday’s affair playing against a rush defense that gave up 124 yards to Cedric Benson in week 11. Rashard Mendenhall’s picture was on the cover page of this week’s strategy binder and played well. Unlike last week, Mendenhall’s patience was on point and it enabled the Illini alum to opt for the correct gap. He was the main reason why Pittsburgh controlled the clock like they were a wristwatch battery in the first half. The reason for the minus is merely on his untimely fumble. This is the National Football League and to fumble at such an inopportune time should cost you carries down the stretch.

Isaac Redman ran hard on his 5 attempts for 25 yards. You have to love the YAC yards and his refusal to fall on first contact. That method of running will allow Redman to be the man moving forward. (Trying too hard to make a method man and redman reference?) Obviously not starting, but certainly earning more opportunities.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends: B

Hines Ward is so difficult to explain. He unquestionably does not have much speed and he does not run crisp routes. He simply knows where to go and understands zone defenses more than any wide out in the league. He was consistently open in the first half and Roethlisberger found him for over 100 in the game.

Emmanuel Sanders had a nauseating drop. To quote the great Forrest Gump, “ And That’s all I gotta say about that.”

Heath Miller unselfishness to commit to the blocking game was a huge and significant reason why Mendenhall was able to cut back inside and not try to outrun a fast Bills defense to the corner.

Was Mike Wallace invisible because Soloman Wilcox continued to call him Mike Williams?

Offensive Line: D

Statistically, the running game looked exceptionally dominate, but it does not tell the whole story. Fill in tackle Jonathan Scott got bullied more than Inconclusive Evidence’s own Mike Nicastro got bullied as a youngster. That does not even include the two false starts and holding flag that were called on him.

Roethlisberger faced steady pressure when he dropped back and this patch work offensive line looked out of sync.

When you think of elite AFC teams, defensive tackles such as Haloti Ngata and Vince Wolfork, offensive line troubles are worrisome.

Defensive Front 7: C

First of all, let’s all put our minds together and determine where James Harrison can hit a quarterback

  • Helmet to helmet is clearly out of the question.

  • The former defensive MVP definitely cannot hit a quarterback in his knees

  • Last week, we learned that he is not allowed to “drive” the quarterback in the ground.

  • Today’s lesson taught us that Harrison cannot hit the quarterback in his chest with his helmet.

To the critics who laughed at Harrison’s retirement threats, maybe you are starting to realize the mindset he has.

That penalty did not prevent Fred Jackson from averaging 4.9 yards on the ground or the offensive line protecting the Harvard grad for most of the day. The Bills Oline is undersized and quite frankly not very skilled, 2 sacks is simply not enough.

After a dominate first half, Fitzpatrick and Jackson had too much success against what is suppose to be a top tier defense in this league.

Secondary: Outside of Troy Polamalu., they get a big fat D

Let’s take this opportunity to thank “Stevie” Johnson who left his hands in Cincinnati last week. That is what happens when you are a little too serious Mr. Johnson.

This week also proved the importance of Bryant McFadden. After leaving with an injury, Steeler nation learned the drop off William Gay brings when he is the second corner (distressing thoughts of 2009 come to mind). That also means Keenan Lewis becomes the nickel back and after his 1 play, 1 pass interference fiasco, he clearly is not ready for that position.

Steve Johnson committed 5 drops while being barely shadowed by Ike Taylor. His blockbuster, life changing drop in overtime came after he blew by Taylor.

Fitzpatrick finished the first half with only 45 yards, but righted the ship in the second half using the middle of the field to perfection. His numbers were slightly inflated by Freddy Jackson taking his screen pass and blowing past the Steelers defense to pay dirt.

Troy Polamalu played a defensive MVP type game. I mentioned last week that Troy looked back on track after a few mediocre games, but this week was a different level. He played implausible on all three levels of defense and was the only game changer in the 2nd half.

Special Teams: B

Poor kickoff coverage, but Shaun Suisham was 4-4 with all 4 field goals beyond 40 yards including the game winner.

Suisham’s real test does not come until he proves he can kick in the sandbox that is Heinz field.

Coaching: C

I will give Bruce Arians credit for using the KISS technique against a ghastly defense.

Hall of Fame coach Dick LeBeau struggled mightily with his 2nd half play calling. He attempted to adjust his zone defense to man coverage and Fitzpatrick exploited it.

There is no reason why Coach Tomlin should have allowed the Bills to make the 2nd half comeback that they did.

Overall, a win is a win is a win is a win. This was a typical trap game and the Steelers came out with the W. They will have to play better in all three areas next week against the Ravens next week and Dr. Matt Aaron will be ready to slam down the grades.

Saturday, November 27, 2010

NFL Weekend Watch

Previewing the key NFL games this weekend:

For all of you turkey day fans out there, I apologize I didn’t get to preview Thursdays games for you. The reason being, it would have been far too simple to just take the Saints, Patriots and Jets. Form was held, and those 3 teams were victorious (thanks to Roy Williams). So let’s get into the 4 marquee matchups of the weekend, and if you’re lucky I’ll throw in an upset special as well.

Went 4-1 last week, losing only my upset special, the 49ers over the Bucs. Apparently Pirates dislike Troy Smith a great deal as well…


Green Bay @ Atlanta
A potential NFC Championship preview featuring two of the next tier of superstar QB’s in the NFL in Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan. What you may be surprised about is that both of these Defenses are in the top 5 of the NFC statistically. Reliable quarterbacks and unwavering defenses, not a bad recipe for success, which is why these two squads are a combined 15-5. Matt Ryan is 18-1 at home, and has won 14 consecutive starts at the Georgia Dome, so how could anyone possibly pick Green Bay? That’s what I’m here for. The streak stops here as Aaron Rodgers and the Pack Attack featuring Greg Jennings and James Jones, efficiently migrate down the field for the second consecutive week inside of a dome, using intermediate passes early to open up down field targets late.  And if you’ve never seen Clay Matthews play defense, tune in. He eats children.
Take the Packers to make a statement to the rest of the NFC  30- 17


Jacksonville @ New York Giants
If I would have told you 4 weeks ago when the Jags were 3-4 and the Giants were 6-2 that these two teams would feature the same record when they played in week 11 you would have looked at me like I stole your turkey. Well, here you go, the Jags have won 3 in a row, and the Giants have lost their last two, reverting back to last year's form. Believe it or not, this is a huge game. Both of these teams need this victory to stay in prime wild card position in their respective conferences. Now, the g-men lead the league in turnovers with 30. Enter Brandon Jacobs, who takes butter fingers Ahmad Bradshaw’s job as starting running back after Bradshaw fumbled twice last week in the loss against Philadelphia. Although Eli Manning will be without his top two targets in Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks, the Jags have struggled against big backs this year (check Peyton Hillis last week), and quite frankly this has been one of the most inconsistent teams in the recent decade. Look for Jacobs to run hard earlier, making it easier for Eli to complete passes to his former Mcdonald's employees as of a week ago. Although the Jags came through with a a big win last week, they cannot sustain it at the new Meadowlands. Look for the Giants defense specifically Osi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck off the edge to rattle Dave Garrard at the end of this thing, forcing a late turnover to clinch a Giants victory and pull them back into a tie in the ever-changing NFC East.
Giants win 20-16


Philadelphia @ Chicago
Both teams are 7-3, but 10 out of 10 people are quick to call the Bears pretenders. This is an opportunity for Chicago to make a statement, at home. Philadelphia’s offense has been explosive, but sledding could get tough against a Chicago team that is tied for the NFL lead in scoring defense at 14.6 points, ranks second in rush defense at 78.0 yards and third in total defense at 303.0 yards. This one will be a surprise to some. Chicago is for real. When Jay Culter is good, he's very very good. And this sunday he comes through.  Peppers wreaks havoc, Jay Cutler throws the ball to his own team, and Da bears win. 28-26


San Diego @ Indianapolis
Three things are certain at this time of year. Leaves falling off of the trees, Christmas gifts flying off of the shelves, and the chargers winning football games. They are notoriously slow starters, but always seem to get healthy towards the end of the year and play not good, but championship-like football ...until they have to go somewhere frigid in the playoffs. The chargers are number one in the NFL offensively and defensively, in terms of yards grossed per game, and yards allowed per game. Abysmal special teams and inopportune turnovers are the reason San Diego is 5-5. But their special teams seem to be on the right track,Vincent Jackson comes back, Antonio Gates is getting healthier, and Philip Rivers has been the best QB in the AFC all season (sorry Tom). These are two teams that seem to be headed in opposite directions, as the colts will be missing Austin Collie, Dallas Clark of course, and possibly Reggie Wayne as well as he enters questionable. And by the way, the Chargers are 4-1 against Peyton Manning in their last 5 meetings.

Take San Diego 38 – 31



UPSET SPECIAL:  Washington over Minnesota. This may not be an upset to you, but everyone and their mother likes Leslie Frazier to win his coaching debut and light a fire under the Vikings Hineys. In the words of Lee Corso, not so fast my friend. Skins win it. 21-18



Mike Nicastro

Friday, November 26, 2010

NCAA football: Five to watch for this weekend


#21 Arizona @ #1 Oregon- The Ducks can clinch a BCS berth and at least a share of the Pac-10 title with a victory over Arizona Friday night.  Oregon comes in near the top of the nation in all major offensive categories, averaging 50.7 points per game and 542 yards of total offense.  However, after squeaking by Cal last week in which they were held to just 15 points, they will see a Wildcat defense today that is no slouch.  The 20th ranked defense nationally, Arizona also boasts a passing attack that puts up over 300 yards per game led by Nick Foles.  Rainy weather slows the passing attack and LaMichael James and company rebound in a big way, Oregon wins 42-21.

#2 Auburn @ #11 Alabama- Ah the Iron Bowl.  Alabama is pretty good at home, having won 20 straight in Tuscaloosa in dominating fashion.  They have allowed one rushing touchdown during that streak and in 19 of those 20 wins have held the opposing team to 15 points or less.  They are also 5-0 versus nationally ranked opponents.  Enter Cam Newton and the #2 ranked Auburn Tigers.  Newton looks to put a cap on a Heisman trophy caliber season and also keep BCS title hopes alive.  Newton has accounted for 39 touchdowns in 11 games and has a chance to pass for 2,500 yards and rush for 1,500 yards, which no NCAA quarterback has ever accomplished.  I liked Alabama coming into this season and despite two losses I like them now.  From top to bottom this roster has more talent but Cam Newton has been the hands down most electrifying player in the nation.   However, I feel that defense always wins games.  Combine Alabama’s stalwart defense and a vicious rivalry-hungry home crowd, and Alabama pulls off the minor upset 24-17.
               
#4 Boise @ #19 Nevada- How hot is Boise State?  They come into Reno riding a 24 game win streak, which includes a November in which they have outscored Hawaii, Idaho and Fresno State 145-21.  Led by Heisman hopeful Kellen Moore, this Boise offense looks to stay on track against a rare ranked opponent.  Opposite Kellen Moore is Colin Kaepernick, one of the best kept secrets in football running one of the most exciting offenses, the Pistol.  Kaepernick is among the nations leaders, averaging over 300 yards of offense per game out of his half cocked shotgun style offense.  The real battle in this game though is in the trenches.  Nevada’s senior running back Vai Taua is the active leader with 24 career 100-yard rushing performances.  He will have a tough task against Boise’s number one rush defense, only allowing 72 yards per game.  As I said before, defense wins games.  It also helps to have Kellen Moore who doesn’t know what it means to throw an interception.  Boise State creeps past TCU in the polls with a decisive victory over a ranked opponent and possibly gains some much deserved respect.  Boise wins 35-24.

#13 Oklahoma @ #9 Oklahoma State- The Cowboys comes into this game as the higher ranked team for just the fourth time in series history and have not beat the Sooners since 2002.  Oklahoma State holds a one game lead in the Big 12 South and can clinch a berth in the conference title game for the first time with a victory Saturday night.  Coach Gundy’s team boasts an offense that averages 552 yards per game led by one of the nation’s best trio’s, quarterback Brandon Weeden, running back Kendal Hunter and wideout Justin Blackmon.  The Cowboys have won ten games in the regular season for the first time in school history.  Two premier wideouts, Oklahoma’s Ryan Broyles and Oklahoma State’s Justin Blackmon look to prove they are the best target in the state as Kendall Hunter looks to show the Cowboys can also run the ball at will.  The Cowboys have said all week they like to feel like underdogs and I believe that focus will help this team continue its winning ways and send Bob Stoops and his crew home packin.  Oklahoma State wins 45-38.

Colorado @ #15 Nebraska- Yes Huskers fans I have you as my upset special yet again.  With Cody Green set to start as Taylor Martinez nurses a bum ankle, a red hot Colorado team looks to take advantage.  The Buffaloes have averaged 441 yards per game in November, 100 more than they have all season.  Junior tailback Rodney Stewart has almost 500 yards and five touchdowns in the last three contests, which could pose a problem for a Huskers defense ranked 57th nationally against the run.  Don’t look for QB Cody Hawkins to air it out much though because Nebraska has the number one ranked pass defense in the country led by Thorpe Award finalist Prince Amukamura, say that five times fast.  The Cornhuskers can clinch a Big-12 North title with a victory or a Missouri loss to Kansas but I don’t expect either to happen.   The loss of Martinez is too much against a Colorado team with nothing to lose, Colorado pulls off the upset 27-21.

It was tough to pick five matchups this week.  Forced to leave a few out but also pay attention to the Backyard Brawl as Pitt faces off against WVU with both teams looking to keep Big East title hopes alive.  Also keep an eye on LSU vs. Arkansas if you want to see Ryan Mallett’s rocket arm against perhaps the best overall defensive player in the nation, cornerback Patrick Peterson. 

By Ian Hanford


Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Matt Aaron's Top 5 Thanksgiving NFL Games

Ah Thanksgiving… and when I think of Thanksgiving, I think of football! Somebody once tried to explain to me that it is actually about being appreciative of what you have and the gracious feeling of giving opposed to receiving. Yeah right. I’ll tell you what it is all about…

It is all about the Detroit Lions playing in their annual Super Bowl. It is about the Dallas Cowboys, being the most loved and hated team in America, turning heads away from horrible family stories and towards the new plasma television in the living room. It is about John Madden having a love affair with turkducken. It is about moments like Leon ‘Lett it go’ pouncing on a blocked kick in on of the most imprudent plays in sports history. It’s about games in which OJ Simpson ran for a record breaking 273 yards (Yes before he had a supporting role in The Naked Gun and a starring role in The Bloody Glove, he was actually one of the greatest running backs of all time). So in the spirit of giving, I am doing my charitable work and sharing my top 5 Thanksgiving moments that I can remember! Let’s not forget that Matt Aaron was born in 1988 which gives me 10-15 years to work with.

5. Randy Moss, let me introduce you to America, America this is Randy Moss.

The year was 1998; the most electric rookie that I have ever witnessed carved up the Cowboys defense on Turkey Day. Not a bad statistical line for Randy with 3 catches for 168 yards and 3 TDs. This was around the time where kids all over the nation started using the phrase, “You just got Moss’ed” when referring to making a catch over a defender. It was also revenge of some sorts for number 84 as he did not forget that Jerry Jones passed on him in the draft while he was running past the Cowboys secondary.

4. Peyton Manning has a tougher time cutting the turkey than playing the Lions

A good way to break a touchdown record is to play the Detroit Lions at least once and that is exactly what Manning did in 2003. The MVP of that season threw a career high 6 touchdowns against the Kitties, 3 of which ended up in the hands of Starvin’ Marvin Harrison (But he ate Thanksgiving dinner later and was not hungry). The Colts passed the cranberry sauce along the sideline as they cruised to a 46-9 victory. Peyton would go on to throw 49 touchdowns during the 2003 campaign.

3. Tony Romo and T.O. connect just like the Pilgrims and Indians did.

It was a happy family in 2006. Bill Parcells was a proud father with his hand picked quarterback, “that player” and even Terry Glenn was on the Coach’s side. Romo roasted the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for 5 touchdowns including 2 to Glenn and 1 to Owens. Dysfunction was on the horizon, but on this day, the Cowboys looked as flawless as buttered biscuits on their way to a 38-10 victory.

2. Barry Sanders hunts Bears, not Turkeys

At 21 years old, memories of actually watching Barry Sanders are minimal, but a few games stick out like a pizza box during Thanksgiving dinner. The year was 1997 and the most stimulating player of the last few decades knifed up the Chicago Bears defense. 167 yards later, the Lions annihilate the Bears 55-20. Barry would finish the season with 2,053 yards.


1. When heads is tails

I always thought that the most difficult decision on Thanksgiving was deciding dark meat over white meat, not whether Jerome Bettis said heads or tails? In 1998, the Detroit Lions would upset the Steelers 19-16 behind a Jason Hanson game winning field goal. The Steelers would not win a game for the rest of that season and miss the playoffs. Controversy would ensue after this game, trying to decipher whether “The Bus” started to say heads before saying tails. Frustration was felt in the Western Pennsylvania, but it would take attention from your sister bringing the new jailbird boyfriend to Grandma’s house for Thanksgiving.

I am very thankful that I am able to even post on this blog and grateful that you took the time out of your holiday week to read this. Have a safe Thanksgiving and lets hope many more great games occur on this holiday.




Tuesday, November 23, 2010

What has happened to the Tar Heels?

By Ian Hanford
               
After a historically bad season for Coach Roy Williams, lofty hopes for a big bounce-back season in Chapel Hill seem to already be questionable as the Tar Heels fell for the second straight game.  Two unranked opponents, the Minnesota Gophers and the Vanderbilt Commodores handed Carolina two consecutive unexpected losses in the Puerto Rico season tip-off.  The Tar Heels haven’t lost two of their first four games since they went 8-20 in 2001-02.  This sends Roy Williams back to the drawing board again after a 20-17 season last year in which Williams missed the big dance for the first time since 1986, his first year as a head coach.  Everyone knows the Tar Heels are struggling, the real question is why?  On a team littered with Mcdonald’s All American’s, how do they not have the talent to win at least the games they should?  I will tell you why, because as the Miami Heat can tell you right now, it is not all about talent.  As talented as North Carolina is, they are equally as inexperienced.  Couple the inexperience with the lack of a gritty, emotional leader for this team to rally around, and you find yourself at 2-2 to begin 2010. 
               
                In terms of experience North Carolina has one senior on its roster, Justin Knox, who transferred from Alabama so not the guy Roy Williams would probably turn to in a pinch.  The other senior would have been Will Graves but he was dismissed from the team before the season began for violating team rules.  That leaves junior’s Larry Drew, who tends to give the ball to the other team, and Tyler Zeller as the elder statesmen of this squad and considering Zeller’s injury history, he hasn’t played as many games as his junior standing may lead you to believe.  That leaves a large responsibility on the shoulders on a player like John Henson who hasn’t shown he is the type of player to take a game over yet.  Henson still has a very raw skill set on the offensive end and relies on his length and athletic ability to rebound and block shots but as a big man you will get fouled and you must convert, Henson is shooting a measly 26.3% from the charity stripe.  That is a very obvious problem.

                Don’t get me wrong, I love the freshman trio of Harrison Barnes, Kendall Marshall and Reggie Bullock as much as every other concerned Tar Heel fan but these guys aren’t going to be leaders from day one.  No matter how talented a player, freshman carrying a team to the title as Carmelo Anthony did for Syracuse in 2003, doesn’t happen every day.  Barnes is among the most talented in the country but he needs some help, he has shown his talent but has also struggled to get himself open at times, going 0-12 from the field against Minnesota.  Marshall is your typical pass first point guard, reminding me of former Uconn PG Marcus Williams, but again he needs time to get acclimated to the college atmosphere.  Bullock seems as advertised as well, a great shooter reminiscent of Wayne Ellington or Rashad McCants but again he is an 18 year old kid being asked to do a lot for one of the most prestigious programs in basketball history.  What Carolina lacks is that emotional leader, the passion of a veteran that has won and knows what it feels like to do so consistently.  This is through no fault of their own but is still a very tough situation to overcome.
 
Carolina needs to get back to the basics.  The same issues from last year have carried over to this season, make your free throws, rebound the ball, and most importantly take care of the basketball.  Roy Williams is a winner and this team will win games but they need to get a grip on this early before this team loses all confidence much like what happened last season.  They will have chances to prove themselves with a tough matchup coming up with Illinois and the always rigorous ACC conference slate ahead.  The question lies not in the talent for this team but how fast they can grow up and learn from last year's mistakes.  Sooner rather than later is the hope in Chapel Hill or come March, they will be left on the outside looking in once again.

Monday, November 22, 2010

Why Idaho Features much more than just the Potato



It has Kellen Moore
                The most efficient Quarterback college football has seen in a decade.  I hate to compare Kellen Moore to Cameron Newton today because each of these signal callers is perfect for their style of offense. Boise would take Kellen over Cam 100 out of 100 times, and Auburn would take Cam over Kellen 100 out of 100 times, which is why it is ultimately hard to justify which one is the “better” quarterback. But pay attention to number 11, because whatever “it” is, Kellen Moore has “it”. I understand he doesn’t face college football’s cream of the crop week in and week out, but statistically this guy just isn’t human.  Over the last two seasons, the brain behind the bronco has thrown 58 touchdowns to just 8 interceptions.  And he’s not just putting up these video game like statistics in the first 3 quarters, Moore has 3 game winning drives to his credit, including a vigorous and passionate fourth quarter comeback against ACC leader and most likely eventual champ, Virginia Tech, in a game where Kellen went 23-38, throwing 3 TD’s and you guessed it . .no interceptions.  Give me my choice of any quarterback in the country to lead my team on a crucial 4th quarter drive, with apologies to Mr. Newton at Auburn, and Stanford’s #12, give me the gentleman sporting blue and orange every time.  And in case you were wondering, he’s 36-1, which is almost equivalent to his Touchdown-Interception ratio.


It has Chris Peterson
                Why this man’s name is not mentioned with the Nick Saban’s, or Urban Meyer’s in college football is honestly beyond me.  No matter how many times I hear the WAC conference is just that, no matter how you slice it In Chris Petersen's first five SEASONS, he's yet to lose five games (57-4), and he has three undefeated regular seasons, two undefeated campaigns including bowl results, and has put together winning streaks of 14, nine, 12, and 22. Convinced yet? And he’s done this with two completely different teams. I just told you why I may take Kellen Moore over any other QB in the NCAA, but let’s be realistic he does not necessarily project well as an NFL QB. And neither did Jared Zabranksy, Peterson’s first quarterback as he failed several NFL tryouts. What this speaks to is Peterson’s genius, in his ability to coach his players, as well as recruit. Neither of these QB’s have all of physical tools, they aren’t one man armies (see Cameron Newton), but they have an exact understanding of how to orchestrate Boise’s spread offense to a tee. And the simple fact that Boise didn’t miss a beat when transitioning from one QB to another is extraordinary, given the troubles Meyer’s program has had this year after losing Tim Tebow. He's the only two-time winner of the Bear Bryant Award, honoring the best head coach in the nation, and he was twice nominated for the Broyles Award, given to the best assistant coach, during his time as Boise's offensive-coordinator.  Fact: no one has accomplished as much as Coach Peterson has in this short a time period, in college football history. Time for Chris Peterson to become a household name. 


It has a team that features the best win in college football this season
                  I cannot tell you the countless times I have heard the following sentence uttered. “ Boise State doesn’t have enough quality wins to deserve to play for a National Championship”.  Well, like always, I’m here to tell you why I don’t buy in to that one bit. They just may have THE best win in College Football ALL SEASON.
                Monday, September 6, @ #10 Virginia Tech. A Virginia Tech team that has recently rolled through the ACC, cruising to an 8-0 record. If they did not have a major slip up vs. James Madison in week 2, the Hokies would be 10-1, and currently in the BCS top 7 (projected).  The James Madison loss for Virginia Tech, when it’s all said and done, may have Boise State on the outside looking in. Fair or Foul? You tell me. But back to this classic game. It was technically played at a neutral site in Landover, Maryland. BUT when comparing the distance Boise had to travel versus the distance Va Tech did, also taking into account Virginia Tech’s fan-base outnumbering Boise’s 10-1, this was essentially a home game for Virginia Tech. If you disagree with that statement, quit reading now. The Broncos defeat Virginia Tech, 33-30, doing it through the air, as well as in the trenches, manufacturing an early season statement against a top-10 major contender.
Let’s take a look at how many teams this year have accomplished what Boise did that night.
CRITERIA: Teams this season have won on the road, against a Top- 10 ranked team in the Polls.

#2, as well as #3 both came in week 4. Where number 1. Alabama went into Arkansas and defeated the Razorbacks 24-20. Also, UCLA went into Texas and defeated what was a #7 ranked (YIKES) Longhorns team decisively.
In week 8 the inconsistent fighting Mack Browns’ went into Nebraska and beat the Huskers by a TD. But who cares, nobody is contemplating Texas for a Title berth, or a BCS Bowl for that matter.

The next, in week 6, where an unranked Oregon State team stunned #9 Arizona, at Arizona. Incidentally, Boise State defeated Oregon State earlier in the season, by two touchdowns.

Here’s where it gets interesting, the 6th time it happened, and ironically the last. In week 12 third ranked TCU went into #5 Utah, and stomped the Utes 47-7.  A terrific, significant blowout for the Horned Frogs. Or so it seemed, until Utah fell the next week, by 25, to a 4-6 Notre Dame team. I understand they won by 40, on the road, against what was a top 5 team, but when breaking down Virginia Tech – Utah, it seems like apples to oranges, they're a far ways apart.

So, in terms of most significant wins in 2010, taking into account how difficult it is to win on the road in college football, my rankings go as follows.

1.       Boise State winning @ #10 Virginia Tech
2.       Texas winning @ #5 Nebraska
3.       TCU winning @ #5 Utah
4.       Alabama winning @ #10 Arkansas
5.       Oregon State winning @ #9 Arizona
6.       UCLA winning @ #7 Texas

(in terms of significance of victory, #19 South Carolina's win at home over #1 Alabama would place #2 on this list, but it does not meet criteria)
That’s right ladies and gentlemen, in summation, it's only happened 6 times so far this season. Boise is 1 of 6, defeating Virginia Tech going away, and the aforementioned Oregon State, two very solid wins if you ask me.


If Auburn can win @ Alabama this Friday, certainly I will have to re-think my standing.
But this is now, and according to my research, and my valued opinion, Boise State has the best quality WIN in college football this season.


It may just have the best team in College Football
             Highlight the word team. These guys play for each other, are never outspoken in the media regarding how poorly they are consistently treated by the BCS, pollsters, and skeptics, the squad continues to face adversity week in and week out, and continues to dominate every challenge that presents itself. They have passed every test this season, including the one that the BCS needs to take into their consideration: the eye test. Boise State has a Heisman contender at QB, two wide receivers in Titus Young and Austin Pettis that will be playing on Sunday, a defense that shut down respected and dynamic college football players in Tyrod Taylor and Jacquizz Rodgers, a coach with 4 losses in 5 seasons, and a 24 game winning streak. Yes, I understand that they play so to speak "cupcakes", but what you should understand is that every time one of these “cupcakes” plays Boise State, they are essentially vying for a Championship of their own. When they play Boise, it's the equivalent of their Super Bowl. They want to be the team that halts this extraordinary win streak, they want to be the team that takes Kellen Moore out of Heisman contention, and they want to be the team that denies Boise a chance to play for a championship. And yet since the Virginia Tech game, Boise State has outscored it’s opponents 446-85, appearing more dominant, and quite frankly superior, to the team that went 11-0 last season and defeated TCU in the Fiesta Bowl. 

IF Auburn were to lose to Alabama this Friday, in no way shape or form could you even try to convince me that Boise St. does not deserve a chance to play for a National Championship. The argument that a non qualifier can’t compete with an automatic qualifier, can’t buy it. Check some results. Boise State defeats #4 Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl in 2005. Utah beats #4 Alabama in the Sugar Bowl in 2008. If the Broncos were to make it to the National Championship, and lose convincingly, then all of the BCS’s problems in the future concerning Mid-Majors are squashed, as they would have conceded and finally gave the non-automatic qualifier their chance, and wouldn’t have to think twice about giving in once more.  But after everything I just told you, is it unrealistic to think Boise St. isn’t the best team in the country in any case?



Inside a country filled with spuds, the Boise St. Broncos may just be the sweetest potato of them all . . . 


Brought to you by - Mike Nicastro - "Take that BCS."

Steelers vs Raiders: The Good, Bad and Ugly.

Sorry ladies, this isn't Clint Eastwood, it's Matt Aaron breaking down the Steelers perfomance yesterday in a 35-3 victory of the Oakland Raiders.

The Good

  • The Defense certainly redeemed itself from last week’s embarrassment at the hands of Tom Brady and company. Vintage Dick LeBeau game, in which he used the first 8 minutes or so of the game to feel out the Raiders offense and proceeded to make his Hall of Fame adjustments. It resulted in 6 sacks, 3 forced fumbles, 2 interceptions (technically it was 3, but I’ll get to that), held Darren McFadden to 14 rushing yards and smacked Jason Campbell all the way to the bench. Three components stuck out during this game on the defensive side of the ball.
  1. Troy Polamalu played an exceptional game. Besides his interception, he was disrupting McFadden in the backfield and forcing Campbell to immediately check down. It was not talked about much in the Pittsburgh media, but Mr. Head and Shoulders has not played remarkably well the last few weeks. LeBeau gives Polamalu a lot of opportunities to improv from his safety position and this was the first game in the last month where it was once again was clicking for the All-Pro.

  2. The defensive line played without their starting ends and it did not matter. The Raiders came into this contest averaging over 450 yards of offense and 38 points during their 3 game winning streak, but the excellent rotation of Ziggy Hood, Nick Eason and Chris Hoke made that offense look elementary. This was the first time all season that the Raiders offense was held under 100 rushing yards for a game.

  3. In November and December of last season, James Farrior looked older than his defensive coordinator while on the field. He looked slow, hurt and probably could not chase down Hal Gill if he needed to. Yesterday, the 35 year old middle linebacker and 15 year veteran was again, on top of his game. He looks healthy and it makes the defense complete. He finished the day with 8 tackles, 2 TFL, 1 sack and 1 QB hurry. The defensive quarterback, playing next to an emerging star in Lawrence Timmons leads the most bloodcurdling linebacking core in the NFL.
  • Who bet that Big Ben would finish the day with 6 less rushing yards than the whole Raiders team combined? Thought so. Roethlisberger orchestrated a beautiful game with his arm and his legs. He completed passes to 8 different receivers while on his way to 275 yards passing and 3 TDs. He also added a rushing touchdown in which he gave a Raiders’ defender an ‘okie doke’ making it appear that he was going to slide down or jog out of bounds before plunging into the end zone. Only negative was a play in which he missed Mike Wallace down the sideline after he blew past Michael Huff.

  • That last sentence was an easy segway into Mike Wallace and his mindboggling speed. With all apologies to Chris Johnson, number 17 in the black and gold is the fastest player in the NFL. It literally looked like someone hit the fast forward button on the remote when he blistered by defenders for his 52 yard touchdown run. There is nothing more dangerous than a deep threat that is consistent on a week to week basis. He is quickly becoming an all around wide receiver. Who says Mike Wallace needs 60 minutes, because this kid can run goal line to goal line in 6 seconds.

  • Antonio Brown again had an opportunity and Antonio Brown again seized it. Randle El should never have made this squad and barring injury or garbage time, he will not see the field again this year. 9.4 yards on punts and he had a touchdown called back due to a holding penalty. He also caught a pass for 21 yards on his lone chance in the passing game. (But I have enjoyed seeing 40 year old women who have 6 six children, wear their "El Ya" shirts again)




The Bad

  • 14 penalties for 163 yards is unacceptable. We’ll get into the specifics of these calls in a little bit, but no matter what, that can not happen. On the bright side, that was the most penalty yards in a game by a team that won by at least 32 points in NFL history. Hooray!

  • Rashard Mendenhall had the gears spinning early, but could not sustain it throughout the game. 23 carries for 56 yards is very pedestrian and sometimes his incredible patience hurts him at times. Yesterday, Mendenhall was too patient behind a patchwork offensive line.


The Ugly

  • Injuries to the offensive line are almost becoming sickening for Mike Tomlin and company. Maurkice Pouncey, Chris Kemoeatu and Jonathan Scott forced constant juggling on the offensive line again. The positive out of these unfortunate injuries is that the line continued to play well while being shuffled on a play to play basis.

  • Certain penalties must be addressed by the NFL. No reason to complain THAT much in a game in which the Steelers won by 32, but some were obviously nauseating. The phantom helmet to helmet on Ryan Clark, James Harrison’s roughing the passer that negated Ike Taylor’s pick 6 (He actually caught the ball!) and LaMarr Woodley’s love tap had the Steelers crowd barking at the refs. This game might cost this crew a chance to work a playoff game.

  • Ben Roethlisberger's jaw


  • Dan Dierdorf’s lame jokes every time Shane Lechler took a whiff of his smelling salt.

    Overall: If you are Mike Tomlin, there is not much to dwell on. All 3 facets of the game were on point and that does not happen with all the parity in today’s NFL.